# ARForecasting

Tesorio's Forecasting engine uses machine learning trained on historical payment patterns, customer behavior, and ERP data to predict AR collections at the invoice level. No more spreadsheet gymnastics — get reliable rolling forecasts and scenario modeling for your accounts receivable.

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## See AR Forecasting in action

**dashboard.tesorio.com/forecasting**

## AR Forecast

| Period     | Forecast | Collected | Goal  |
| ---------- | -------- | --------- | ----- |
| Feb 24Current | $2.6K | $1.2K     | $2.4K |
| Mar 3     | $2.2K    | —         | $2.4K |
| Mar 10    | $2.5K    | —         | $2.4K |
| Mar 17    | $1.9K    | —         | $2.4K |
| Mar 24    | $2.8K    | —         | $2.4K |

Timescale: Weekly Last updated: 2 min ago

## How AR Forecasting works

1. **Invoice-Level Payment Predictions**  
   ML models predict when each individual invoice will be paid based on customer payment history, seasonal patterns, invoice terms, and behavioral signals. Predictions update continuously as new data arrives — not just at month-end.

| Invoice  | Predicted | Conf.Status |
| -------- | --------- | ----------- |
| INV-4521 | Acme Corp | Mar 15 94%   | On Track  |
| INV-3812 | DataSync  | Mar 8 88%    | On Track  |
| INV-5010 | CloudBase | Mar 22 72%   | At Risk   |
| INV-7891 | TechFlow  | Mar 39 97%   | Likely Early |

ML predictions updating in real-time

2. **Rolling AR Forecasts**  
   Generate accurate rolling AR collections forecasts that finance teams can rely on for working capital planning and collection strategy. Forecasts automatically adjust as invoices are created, paid, or become overdue.

3. **Scenario Modeling**  
   Model what-if scenarios to understand the AR impact of collection strategy changes, customer payment behavior shifts, or macroeconomic conditions. Compare scenarios side-by-side to make informed decisions.

| Scenario Comparison | Today | Optimistic | Conservative |
| -------------------| ------ | ---------- | ------------ |
| Forecast            | $2.4M  | $2.6M      | $2.1M       |
| High accuracy       | Yes    | Yes        | No          |
| Variance            | -$120K | +$40K      | - $300K     |

4. **Forecast vs. Actuals Tracking**  
   Track forecast accuracy over time with automated variance analysis. Identify which customer segments, invoice types, or time periods have the highest prediction accuracy — and where the model is still learning.

| Forecast            | High accuracy | Variance   |
| -------------------| ------------- | ----------- |
| $2.4M              | Yes           | -$120K     |
| $2.28M             | No            | +$180K     |

## Built for real scenarios

### Use Cases

- **VP Finance**
  - Planning working capital for next quarter
  - High-accuracy AR collections forecasts

- **VP Finance**  
  - Reporting cash position to the board with confidence
  - Real-time working capital visibility unlocked

- **FP&A Analyst** 
  - Modeling impact of collection strategy changes
  - Side-by-side scenario comparison in minutes, not days

## What changes in your workflow

### Before  
- Spreadsheet-based forecasting with manual assumptions  
- Weekly updates that are stale by the time they ship  
- No invoice-level prediction granularity  
- Variance analysis done manually at month-end

### After Tesorio  
- ML-powered invoice-level payment predictions  
- Continuous rolling forecasts that update automatically  
- Granular drill-down by customer, segment, or entity  
- Automated forecast-vs-actuals tracking and alerts

## Works with the tools you already use

AR Forecasting connects natively with your existing tech stack.

## Built for production, proven at scale

10x Faster Forecast Builds  
30% DSO Reduction  
5+ Integrations  
33 days Avg DSO Reduction

## What Customers Say

> “I've been in and out of it daily. I love being able to drive reporting off of AR Forecast, and not having to build these out manually for each week and agent. Tesorio empowers my team to get the information they need without the spreadsheets.”  
> 
  
> **Sarah McCauley**  
> Director of Billing & AR, Formerly at GitLab

## Better Together

## Works best with

[AI Collections **Collections Agent** 
Turns overdue invoices into cash — without adding headcount. AI drafts personalized follow-ups, extracts payment promises, and manages your dunning pipeline autonomously.\
Learn more](/content/product/collections/index.html)

[AI Cash Application **Cash Application**  
Same-day cash application. 95%+ auto-match rate. Partial payments and multi-entity matching handled automatically.\
Learn more](/content/product/cash-application/index.html)

[Workflow Automation **Workflows**  
No-code automation for every finance process — connecting your entire finance stack.\
Learn more](/content/product/workflows/index.html)

## FAQ

### AR Forecasting

#### Common questions about Tesorio's AR Forecasting.

- How accurate is the AR collections forecast?
- How is this different from spreadsheet forecasting?
- Can we use this for working capital planning?
- How quickly does the model learn our patterns?

## Ready to transform your AR forecasting?

$100B+ invoices collected | 90%+ auto-match rate | 33-day avg DSO reduction

See how Tesorio's AR Forecasting delivers results your team can measure in weeks.

[Speak With a Human](/content/request-demo/index.html) [See All Products→](/content/product/index.html)

Trusted by the best finance teams in tech